Just back from Vegas and doing some NBA betting. Using Sagarin's NBA Power ratings, specifically the Predictor column.
For example,
San Antonio Spurs: 96.08
Los Angeles Lakers: 96.36
Assume 3 pts for home team, LAL = 96+3 = 99. Take the integer part of Spurs rating and the difference is 3. LAL -3 is the predicted line.
Compare vs Book lines and if difference > 1 pt, then bet the game based on predicted line.
Best day was 4-1-1, Worse day was 50% where I would lose the vig, but otherwise this system worked well.
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The Dallas Cowboys’ DeMarco Murray gave 135 yards and a TD in a win above the Buffalo Bills in fantasy football Week 10. In Week 10 fantasy football rankings, Rob Gronkowski had 8 catches up with 113 yards and 2 TDs as the New England Patriots strike the New York Jets. The Jets are fighting, as the Pats are sitting this yr.
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