Week 13 Monday Night

Just for fun, I think BAL +3 is the side to be on tonight...

From book National Football Lottery

Excerpts from the book National Football Lottery by Larry Merchant...

Pro Football Betting Generalizations:

• Don't try to make money betting on a bad team.
• Don't give more than 7 points.
• Don't bet the underdog unless you think it can win the game.
• Bet a clearly superior team any time it is favored by less than a touchdown.
• Bet the team you like regardless of injuries, home field, etc. Those factors have already been included in the line.
• Don't bet games in which the weather is likely to be a factor. You're guessing.
• Bet convictions, not hunches. When in doubt, pass the game up.
• Bet with your emotions, but don't be carried away.

Generalizations about bookies, betting and the points:

• Don't be intimidated by the line. If you think a favorite isn't favored by enough or an underdog is underdogged by too much, bet it. The line is fallible.
• Bet on the public (popular) teams early in the week, bet against them as late as possible.
  

Week 12 Early Update posted

Week 12 early update.

Good Luck!

Early Week 11 Update

Week 11 update posted.

Good Luck!

Final Update Week 10

Final updates posted. Happy Veteran's Day!

Thank you, Veterans, for your sacrifice and service to the U.S. of A.

Good Luck!

Week 9 early update posted

Week 9 update posted.

Good Luck!

Week 8 Final posted

Week 8 final updates posted.

Good Luck!

Early week 8 posted

Week 8 update posted.

The way it's going this season, might be better to go against my computer predictions... :-)

Good Luck!

Week 6 Early Update posted

Early lines update posted.

Fantasy football projections also posted:
http://home.roadrunner.com/~predictor/proj.txt

Week 5 Final Posted

Sorry, it's late, but week 5 final posted.

Good rushing matchups: (6 of 15)

• MIN
• DAL (+)
• KC
• PHI
• TB
• OAK
• NYG (+)
• CLE (+)
• BUF (+)
• BAL
• PIT
• SF (+)
• ARI
• JAX
• MIA (+)

Good passing matchups (13 of 19)

• MIN (+)
• DAL (+)
• KC (+)
• PHI (+)
• NYG (+)
• BUF
• CIN (+)
• BAL
• PIT (+)
• DET (+)
• ATL (+)
• SF
• HOU (+)
• ARI (+)
• JAX
• SEA (+)
• IND (+)
• TEN
• NYJ

Updated 10/12/2009: team yardage:

• (+) = greater than 99 yds rush or 199 yds passing

Good Luck!