Monday, December 7, 2009

From book National Football Lottery

Excerpts from the book National Football Lottery by Larry Merchant...

Pro Football Betting Generalizations:
  • Don't try to make money betting on a bad team.
  • Don't give more than 7 points.
  • Don't bet the underdog unless you think it can win the game.
  • Bet a clearly superior team any time it is favored by less than a touchdown.
  • Bet the team you like regardless of injuries, home field, etc. Those factors have already been included in the line.
  • Don't bet games in which the weather is likely to be a factor. You're guessing.
  • Bet convictions, not hunches. When in doubt, pass the game up.
  • Bet with your emotions, but don't be carried away.

Generalizations about bookies, betting and the points:

  • Don't be intimidated by the line. If you think a favorite isn't favored by enough or an underdog is underdogged by too much, bet it. The line is fallible.
  • Bet on the public (popular) teams early in the week, bet against them as late as possible.

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