Happy New Years!

Hope everyone has a SAFE and Happy New Years tonight and tomorrow!

Playoffs updates have been posted.

Good Luck!

Week 16 Final posted

Week 16 updates have been posted.

Good Luck!

Predictor Website moved!

The primary prediction website has been moved. The host (roadrunner) has decided to consolidate it's sites to a single domain. The new URL is: http://home.roadrunner.com/~predictor

Hopefully this does not cause too much problems for everyone.

Week 15 Early Updated Posted

Week 15 update posted.

Good Luck!

World Blogger Championship of Online Poker!

Week 14 Updates

Week 14 updates will be finished earlier than usual. I will be in Vegas next week and won't have access to a PC to make updates.

Early updates have been posted.

Good Luck!

Week 13 Final Posted

Week 13 final update has been posted.


Happy Thanksgivings!

Week 12 Update

Top 5 Computers picks:
SF + 10.5 (L)
DET + 8.5 (L)
OAK + 9.5 (W)
SEA + 3.5 (W)
MIA -1.5 (L)

PIT, TB, and WAS all won their cames, but CAR did not.

ATS:
PIT - 10.5 (W)
TB - 8.5 (W)
CAR + 1 (L)
WAS -3.5 (L)

Week 12 Final Posted

Final updates posted.

Top 5 Computer picks:
SF + 10.5
DET + 8.5
OAK + 9.5
SEA + 3.5
MIA -1.5

PIT, TB, CAR, and WAS should win their games.

ATS go with:
PIT - 10.5
TB - 8.5
CAR + 1
WAS -3.5

Good Luck!

Week 12 Early Update Posted

Early week 12 updates have been posted.

Top 5 computer picks went 3-2 last week.
WAS + 1.5 (L)
KC + 5.5 (L)
NYJ + 3 (W)
SD + 5.5 (W)
CIN + 9 (W)

My own picks went 2-3 ATS
MIA -10.5 (L)
TEN -3 (W)
ARI -3 (W)
PIT -5.5 (L)
WAS +1.5 (L)

Straight up: MIA (W), TEN (W), PHI (T), CAR (W), ARI (W), PIT (W) and WAS (L) for 5-1-1.

Week 11 Final Update Posted

Final line updates posted.

Top 5 computer picks:
was + 1.5
KC + 5.5
NYJ +3
SD + 5.5
CIN + 9

My own picks:
MIA, TEN, PHI, CAR, ARI, PIT, and WAS should all win their games. ATS, I would have to go with:
MIA -10.5
TEN -3
ARI -3
PIT - 5.5
WAS + 1.5

Good Luck!

Week 11 Posted

Week 11 has been posted.

Top 5 Computer picks
DET + 6.5 (L)
OAK +9.5 (L)
KC + 15.5 (W)
sf +9.5 (W)
CHI + 3 (L)
-----------------------
2-3

Week 10 Update

Week 10 has been posted.

Good Luck!

Top 5 computer picks:
CIN + 7.5 (W)
SEA + 7 (L)
KC + 8.5 (W)
NYJ + 5.5 (W)
MIA +3 (W)
----------------
4-1-0

Week 9 Update Posted

Updates posted.

Good Luck!

Week 8 Final Posted

Week 8 final updates posted.

I made a couple of changes to the PROJ.TXT file output. Three of the last four columns were changed to compare the offensive vs def numbers on the same line for easier analysis.

For example...

                        Oppt            Oppt               Oppt              Oppt
                 Rsh    RshA     Pss    PssA      Rush     RshA     Pass     PssA       Proj
                 100(%)/100(%)   200(%)/200(%)    TD(/Gm)/ TD(/Gm)  TD(/Gm)/ TD(/Gm)   Score
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chargers     :   3( 43)/ 4( 57)  4( 57)/ 5( 71)    4(0.6)/  4(0.6)  16(2.3)/  9(1.3)     27
Saints       :   4( 57)/ 5( 71)  6( 86)/ 6( 86)    7(1.0)/  4(0.6)  12(1.7)/ 11(1.6)     24
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Now it's easier see that the Chargers have rushed for > 100 yds in 3 games (43%) vs the Saints def. have allowed > 100 yds rushing in 4 games (57%). Similarly for the other stats, you can see that both teams should be able to score passing TDs, but may have a harder time scoring via the run.

Hope that helps... Good Luck!

Week 8 Posted

Initial updates for week 8 have been posted...

Good Luck!

Week 7 Posted

Week 7 updates have been posted. Found an error in the Browns-Redskins game matchup that I'll fix tonight.

Good Luck!

NFL Predictor Week 6 Posted

Sorry so late, but week 6 updates have been posted.

Good luck!

Current RAFFLE roster

Well, the team is 2-2, which is not bad considering the injuries. Need to find a backup QB and depth at WR and RB for the coming weeks, but for now it's ok.

• Favre, Brett NYJ QB
• Frerotte, Gus MIN QB
• Graham, Earnest TBB RB
• Lewis, Jamal CLE RB
• McClain, Le'Ron BAL RB
• Morris, Maurice SEA RB
• Taylor, Fred JAC RB
• Young, Selvin DEN RB
• Berrian, Bernard MIN WR
• Bryant, Antonio TBB WR
• Colston, Marques NOS WR
• Jackson, Vincent SDC WR
• Johnson, Bryant SFO WR
• Moore, Lance NOS WR
• Owens, Terrell DAL WR
• Winslow, Kellen CLE TE
• Folk, Nick DAL PK
• Giants, New York NYG Def

I'll post the week 5 update later tonight.

Week 4

Final update has been posted.

Good Luck!

Week 3 Update posted

Week 3 update has been posted.

Just got back from Vacation and it's been awhile since I've been to Disneyland, but Wow, tickets have gotten expensive... $94 for an adult 1-day hopper!?!

UH at Oregon St -12

With QB Granke back at the helm, I feel better about Hawaii's chances this weekend at Oregon State.

OSU may have found themselves a RB in Quizz Rodgers so UH will need to contain him. This could be a problem if OSU continues to pass for 300+ yds per game... Hopefully, UH's improved D will be up for the challenge.

UH will need to ride the arm of QB Granke and the UH defense this week on the road. New receivers are starting to emerge with Washington, Bain, Salas, and Lane. RB Jayson Rego is another option to keep opposing defenses honest with the run...

Good Luck Warriors!

Week 2 Update Posted

Week 2 update has been posted. Several games are off the board, but should be updated later this week.

Summary Predictions as well as detailed predictions are available.

Stat projections for teams are also available for you fantasy football guys...

Predictor Updates in Week 2

Predictor updates will be posted starting in Week 2.

Good Luck and Thanks for visiting!

RAFFLE team

Here is my fantasy team for this year...

• QB David Garrard JAX
• QB Brett Favre NYJ
• RB Jamal Lewis CLE
• RB Earnest Graham TB
• RB Selvin Young DEN
• RB Fred Taylor JAX
• RB Maurice Morris SEA
• RB Kevin Jones CHI
• WR Terrell Owens DAL
• WR Marques Colston NO
• WR Bernard Berrian MIN
• WR Vincent Jackson SD
• WR Mark Clayton BAL
• WR Muhsin Muhammad CAR
• TE Kellen Winslow JR CLE
• PK Nick Folk DAL
• DEF NY Giants

The league is a keeper league and you can keep up to 8 players from last year.

Hopefully my QBs have a decent year and my RBs come through...

UH at UF -35

Phew... it's finally here! The start of the new UH and NFL football seasons...

I'll be updating the NFL Predictor site starting after the first week of NFL games.

Good Luck to UH in Gainesville tomorrow!

Nice Davone Bess Q&A

There is a good Q&A at the source below. Sounds like Bess is working hard and trying to always improve every practice...

Source: South Florida Sun-Sentinel.com

Good Luck and Keep up the Hard Work!!!

Another good game by Colt

Colt was 4 of 5 for 79 yds and the go ahead/winning TD today.

Davone Bess had just 2 for 12 and 0 TDs and two penalties from what I've read...

Keep working hard boys!

Bess continues to impress!

"Undrafted rookie Davone Bess continues to impress with his route-running and pass-catching abilities."
Source: Palm Beach Post

Davone Bess starting in the slot!

Looks like Davone Bess is making a move...

"WR Ernest Wilford, who was initially signed this offseason to be a starter, keeps falling down the depth chart. Last week Derek Hagan unseated him for a starting spot. This week it appears undrafted rookie receiver Davone Bess wrestled away the slot receiver role."
Source: South Florida Sun-Sentinel

Keep it up!

Colt's 2nd pre-season game

An OK outing... just 4-8 for 37 yds, 0 INT, 0 TDs again in the 3rd quarter...

Keep your head up and continue working!

Davone Bess listed on 3rd at WR2 position

He's listed at the WR2 position (source):

• WR 2: Ernest Wilford, Greg Camarillo, Davone Bess, John Dunlap, Selwyn Lymon.

Good Luck!

Congrats Colt!

Congrats on the great debut!

He looked good out there, slinging the ball around, moving those chains and leading two nice TD drives. The way he moved around the pocket, finding lanes to throw and then throwing accurately was really good to see.

Colt threw a nice over the shoulder pass to a WR on the left for a long gainer and another nice one to a WR on the right for his first TD on his first drive. On his 2nd drive, he improvised on a scramble to the right for a 5 yd TD pass to a RB. He went 9-10 for 123 yds and 2 TDs.

John Madden had some good words to say about Colt and how he brings a certain energy/excitement with him when he's in the game as well as praises for the "perfect" passes he was throwing.

Keep on having fun and continued success!

Colt will play!

The Washington Post reports Redskins QB Jason Campbell is expected to start the Hall of Fame Game against the Colts and give way to backup QB Todd Collins after the first or second series. Collins will finish the first half. Sixth-round draft pick QB Colt Brennan will start the second half.

Good Luck!

Renewed FootballGuys subscription

Well, renewed my FootballGuys subscription. It's probably a better and cheaper option than buying FFL magazines before the season starts. This way I get up to date information, projections and tools for the FF leagues I play.

To recap last season, I think I finished the regular season of RAFFLE as the 2nd highest scoring team and tied with the best record overall (11- 2/0-3 playoffs). I sucked in the playoffs again...

Tribute to "The Last Lecture"

Memorable quotes:

• "The brick walls are there for a reason. The brick walls are not there to keep us out; the brick walls are there to give us a chance to show how badly we want something. The brick walls are there to stop the people who don't want it badly enough. They are there to stop the other people!"
• "...when you see yourself doing something badly and nobody's bothering you to tell you anymore, that's a very bad place to be. Your critics are the ones telling you they still love you and care."
• "Experience is what you get when you didn't get what you wanted."
• "It's not about how to achieve your dreams; it's about how to lead your life. If you lead your life the right way, the dreams will come to you."
• "[Quoting a CMU secretary] This advice is good for the ladies: when it comes to men that are romantically interested in you, it's really simple: just don't listen to anything they have to say; pay attention to what they do"

Randy Pausch passes...

Randy Pausch, the professor at Carnegie Mellon University who inspired countless students in the classroom and others worldwide through his highly acclaimed "Last Lecture", has died of complications from pancreatic cancer. He was 47. Read more...

Rocket man!

I saw this picture in the local paper a few months ago and was AMAZED. If it was April 1, I would have thought it was a joke, but after a double-take and reading the article, I sometimes still can't believe it's true!

Truely amazing... :-)

Colts signs contract

Good to hear that Colt got signed by Washington to a 4 yr $1.8M contract. Sounds like he's pretty much recovered from his hip surgery and he can really get down to the business becoming a NFL quarterback.

Good Luck Colt!

Quote of the Day

"Programming today is a race between software engineers striving to build bigger and better idiot-proof programs, and the Universe trying to produce bigger and better idiots. So far, the Universe is winning."
- Rick Cook, The Wizardry Compiled

Take Cover!

Thought this was pretty funny when I saw it...

Colt drafted in the 6th Round by Redskins!

Well, Colt was drafted and I hope he uses all the doubters as motivation to help him make at the next level. I think he can. If he can stay healthy and trust his reads and abilities, he'll be ok.

Good Luck Colt and the rest of the Warrior in the their respective camps! Show'em what you can do!

Good Luck Colt!

Just wanted to wish Colt Brennan the best in the NFL Draft and hope that he goes HIGH!

Good luck to the WRs and all the other UH "alumni"... :-)

Giants Win! Giants Win!

Wow, what a game!

Defensively the Giants played a hell of a game. They pressured and hit Brady, covered the receivers and kept the Patriots in bad field position for most of the game.

Offensively, MVP?!? Eli Manning. Who would have thunk it! They ran the ball just enough to balance the offense and Manning played a great game making throws for key 3rd downs. He needs to protect the ball better when he's scrambling out of the pocket instead of swinging it around in one hand... This had me worried the whole game...

The last drive was a classic. His ability to somehow break away from that sack and toss up the prayer that was answered by WR Tyree's one hand catch with the top of his helmet?!?

Congratulations Giants!

Super Bowl: New York Giants vs New England Patriots

In my opinion, it'll be a NE blowout or a close game. I can't see the NYG blowing out NE.

• If NYG can control the ball on offense with the run, throw some well-timed passes and NOT turn the ball over, they could win a close game.
• If NE can shutdown the NYG rushing game and get some turnovers, they could win easy.

Based on the stats, my SB prediction is New England 29-11 for the perfect, undefeated season.

Good Luck!

Super Bowl update posted

Early Super Bowl updates have been posted.

Good Luck!

AFC/NFC Championship Games Final Update

Final updates posted.

Good Luck!

Early update AFC/NFC Championship games

Wow, looks the NE Patriots will have the opportunity to play for the perfect season and Super Bowl having to just get through the beatup SD Chargers.

Can Eli Manning put together another solid game vs the GB Packers? Wow.

Good Luck!

UG 41-10 over UH

Congrats to Hawaii for a great year!

UG's overall team speed and size was just too much for the Warriors. IMO, the defense played good enough for the most part, except being unable to stop the run early, they did better later in the game.

UG defense just dominated/overwhelmed the UH O-Line and beat Colt down pretty good. The UG front seven was very quick and relentless. The UH offense could not put anything together.

It's too bad UH couldn't make a better showing on the BCS stage, but they played hard and kept fighting until the end...

Hopefully, the UH administration REINVESTS some of the money the team has earned back into the program to build upon this season.